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22M.2.SL.TZ2.4

pestleMathematicsAASLPaper 222M· sl-4-6-combined-mutually-exclusive-conditional-independence-prob-diagramssource ↗

Events A and B are independent and P(A)=3P(B).

Given that P(AB)=0.68, find P(B).

Markscheme / solution

P(AB)=PA+PB-P(AB)=0.68

substitution of PA·PB for P(AB) in P(AB)         (M1)

PA+PB-PAPB  =0.68

substitution of 3P(B) for PA         (M1)

3PB+PB-3PBPB=0.68  (or equivalent)         (A1)

 

Note: The first two M marks are independent of each other.

 

attempts to solve their quadratic equation         (M1)

P(B)=0.2, 1.133 15, 1715

P(B)=0.2 =15          A2

 

Note: Award A1 if both answers are given as final answers for P(B).

 

[6 marks]

Examiners’ report

This question proved difficult for many students. One common error was to use P(AB)=P(A)+P(B), which simplified the problem greatly, resulting in a linear, not a quadratic equation.