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18M.1.AHL.TZ2.H_3

pestleMathematicsAIHLPaper 118M· sl-4-1-concepts-reliability-and-sampling-techniquessource ↗

The discrete random variable X has the following probability distribution, where p is a constant.

Find the value of p.

[2]
a.

Find μ, the expected value of X.

[2]
b.i.

Find P(X > μ).

[2]
b.ii.
Markscheme / solution

* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor differences in marking or structure.

equating sum of probabilities to 1 (p + 0.5 − p + 0.25 + 0.125 + p3 = 1)       M1

p3 = 0.125 =  1 8

p= 0.5      A1

[2 marks]

a.

μ = 0 × 0.5 + 1 × 0 + 2 × 0.25 + 3 × 0.125 + 4 × 0.125       M1

= 1.375  ( = 11 8 )      A1

[2 marks]

b.i.

P(X > μ) = P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)      (M1)

= 0.5       A1

Note: Do not award follow through A marks in (b)(i) from an incorrect value of p.

Note: Award M marks in both (b)(i) and (b)(ii) provided no negative probabilities, and provided a numerical value for μ has been found.

[2 marks]

b.ii.
Examiners’ report
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a.
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b.i.
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b.ii.